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Brexiteers Have the Edge in Tory Race to Replace BoJo, Says Academic_我的网站

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Brexiteers Have the Edge in Tory Race to Replace BoJo, Says Academic_我的网站

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A |     Europhile Conservative MPs have poor prospects in the race already underway to replace Prime Minister Boris Johnson, according to a British academic.,With BoJo making a slow-motion exit from Downing Street, ministers and backbenchers alike are throwing their hats into the ring for the dual role of party leader and PM.,Johnson announced his resignation as Tory leader on Thursday — pre-empting mooted moves to cut the 'grace period' following an unsuccessful no-confidence vote, which he narrowly survived in June. The famous 'BoJo mojo' was finally overcome by the scandal over Deputy Chief Whip Chris Pincher drunkenly groping two men at an exclusive private member's club.,Each candidate to replace BoJo needs the nomination of at least eight fellow Tory MPs. Hot tips so far include Johnson loyalists Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and Defence Secretary Ben Wallace, along with Junior Trade Policy Minister Penny Mordaunt — who surprised some by not joining the wave of protest resignations from government — and Rishi Sunak, who led the revolt by quitting as chancellor.,Alistair Jones, associate professor of politics at Leicester's De Montfort University, told Sputnik that the leadership contest to replace the "figurehead" Johnson was still up in the air.,"The situation is going to be very interesting in British politics as we will look to see how many Conservative MPs want to stand to become the party leader and ultimately Prime Minister," he says.,“Now, within the Cabinet, we will see the likes of Liz Truss, [and Home Secretary] Priti Patel putting their names forward, also most likely [Deputy PM] Dominic Raab. Outside of the Cabinet, former minister Michael Gove will also probably put his name forward and then there'll be some other outsiders who are not in the government, such as Penny Mordaunt and Steve Baker.”,But strident remainer and anti-Russia war hawk Tom Tugendhat, chairman of the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, was fastest out of the traps with five nominations under his belt already.,Professor Jones says that Mordaunt and Steve Baker, who is the deputy chairman of the anti-lockdown COVID Recovery Group and former chairman of the pro-Brexit European Research Group, are the ones to watch.,"Both of them are ardent Brexiteers and it is likely to be an ardent Brexiteer that is going to be elected as leader of the Conservative Party," he points out.,Steve Baker sets out why he would make a good Prime Minister, saying he is very popular with Conservative Home members and he's been told he's popular with the public.Piers challenges him that he might have to "acknowledge reality".@piersmorgan | #PiersMorganUncensored pic.twitter.com/e9qWS1Ae2k— Piers Morgan Uncensored (@PiersUncensored) July 7, 2022,The Eurosceptic underdogs may overtake heavyweights like Jeremy Hunt, the former foreign secretary who was runner-up to Johnson in the 2019 leadership contest to replace Theresa May.,"Jeremy Hunt, someone that people would like to see possibly elected as party leader as a safe pair of hands because he wasn't a Brexiteer, is not likely to go far," Jones says. "So the question will be how much infighting there is going to be within the Conservative Party until they get a leader elected, and then the extent to which that leader is able to unify the party.",BoJo’s Resignation: How Will Johnson’s Successor Be Picked?11:03 GMT,The academic stresses that leadership contests are always extremely polarizing. "You either support candidate number one or candidate number two when you get to the last two and quite often the two do not see eye to eye," he says.,"There could be an awful hangover for the Conservative Party after this leadership election," Jones warns. "The question will be the extent to which Boris Johnson's legacy is a divided party, and that stays with the party until the next general election" — which might not be until January 2025.。    

市气象台发布台风警报今年第 12 号台风“梅花”(强台风级)今天(13日)11时中心位于距离杭州东南方向约 610 公里的海面上,预计“梅花”将以每小时10公里左右的速度向北偏西方向移动,强度维持或略有加强,逐渐向我省中北部沿海靠近,最大可能于14日下午至夜里在三门到舟山一带沿海登陆(台风级或强台风级,38~45米/秒,13~14 级);登陆后,“梅花”将继续向西北方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。受其影响,今天(13日)白天杭州东部和临安、余杭的山区阴有阵雨,雨量中到大局部暴雨,其它地区阴有时有阵雨;今天夜里到15日早晨杭州东部及临安北部山区有大雨到暴雨,局部大暴雨,其它地区阴有中阵雨,局部大雨到暴雨。15日下午阵雨转阴天,夜里阴到多云。今天(13日)东北风4~5级阵风6级,部分高山区和钱塘江等江湖水面5~6级阵风7~8级,14日至15日上午最大偏北风7~9级,部分高山区和钱塘江等江湖水面9~10级个别11级。关注重点和风险提示:1、今天-15日强降水主要出现在杭州东部地区,特别是钱塘、萧山、富阳东部、天目山区(临安西部北部和余杭西北部),需注意防范城乡低洼区域内涝、隧道涵洞积水; 中小河流洪水,山洪、泥石流以及塌方、山体滑坡等次生衍生灾害。2、14日-15日上午需防范大风对在建工地、临时工棚、户外广告牌和园林绿化等的不利影响。3、目前正处于天文大潮期间,钱塘江沿岸需防范大风、风暴潮及强降雨可能引发的次生灾害,做好观潮人员的管理。

B | 由于大气环流复杂,目前陆上海上多低压系统,可能产生相互影响,后期路径仍存在一定不确定性。

C | 气象部门将继续密切监测分析,也请大家持续关注。

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